Before the Open (Feb 24-28)

by admin on February 24, 2020
in Before the Open

Good morning. Happy Friday.

The Asian/Pacific markets suffered huge, across-the-board losses. Japan, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, Italy, Australia, Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines all dropped at least 2%. Europe, Africa and the Middle East are suffering the same. The UK, Poland, France, Turkey, Germany, Russia, Greece, South Africa, Finland, Switzerland, Hungary, Spain, the Netherlands, Italy, Belgium, Portugal, Israel, Austria and Sweden are all down big. Futures in the States point towards another big gap down for the cash market.

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Before the Open (Feb 18-21)

by admin on February 18, 2020
in Before the Open

Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy options expiration.

The Asian/Pacific markets closed mostly down. China did well, but Hong Kong, South Korea, Indonesia, Singapore and the Philippines were weak. Europe, Africa and the Middle East currently lean down. Turkey, Hungary and Saudi Arabia are up; Denmark, Greece, South Africa, Norway, Belgium, Israel and Austria are down. Futures in the States point towards a moderate gap down open for the cash market.

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Before the Open (Feb 10 – 14)

by admin on February 10, 2020
in Before the Open

Good morning. Happy Friday.

The Asian/Pacific markets leaned down. South Korea and China posted gains, but Japan, India, New Zealand, Thailan and the Philippines were weak. Europe, Africa and the Middle East currently lean to the upside. Denmark, Switzerland, Norway, Hungary, Spain, Portugal and Austria are up; Kenya, Israel and Saudi Arabia are down. Futures in the States point towards a slight positive open for the cash market.

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Before the Open (Feb 3-7)

by admin on February 3, 2020
in Before the Open

Good morning. Happy Friday. Happy Employment Numbers Day.

The Asian/Pacific markets closed mostly down. New Zealand did well, but Hong Kong, South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore were weak. Europe, Africa and the Middle East are currently mostly down. Finland and Israel are doing well, but Denmark, Poland, Turkey, Germany, Russia, Greece, South Africa, Norway, the Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden, Saudi Arabia and the Czech Republic are down. Futures in the States point towards a down open for the cash market.

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Before the Open (Jan 27-31)

by admin on January 27, 2020
in Before the Open

Good morning. Happy Friday.

The Asian/Pacific markets leaned down. Japan, New Zealand and Taiwan did well; Hong Kong, South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand and the Philippines were weak. Europe, Africa and the Middle East currently lean down. Denmark and Saudi Arabia are up; the UK, Poland, Greece, South Africa, Spain and Italy are down. Futures in the States point towards a moderate gap down open for the cash market.

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Additional TOY Barometer Stats

by admin on January 22, 2020
in Charts/Essays/Reports

In this post Wayne Whaley’s TOY Barometer was discussed. This is a follow up, with additional stats. Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4 performances are listed, along with first half, second half, full year and forward 12 months numbers.

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Before the Open (Jan 21-24)

by admin on January 21, 2020
in Before the Open

Good morning. Happy Friday.

Except for China, which dropped 3%, the Asian/Pacific markets were very quiet. South Korea closed down; India posted a gain. Europe, Africa and the Middle East are currently doing very well. The UK, France, Germany, Norway, Spain, the Netherlands, Italy, Portugal, Austria and Sweden are all up 1% or more. Futures in the States point towards a positive open for the cash market.

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Wayne Whaley’s TOY Barometer

by admin on January 20, 2020
in Charts/Essays/Reports

Wayne Whaley was a quant before quants existed. He has a math background and has been managing money since the late 1980’s.

He considers the TOY Barometer to be the single most reliable seasonality barometer of forward stock market returns – so much so that he’s said if he could only make one trade/year based on one indicator, this is the indicator he’d use. Read more..

Before the Open (Jan 13-17)

by admin on January 13, 2020
in Before the Open

Good morning. Happy Friday.

The Asian/Pacific markets closed mostly up. Japan, China, Hong Kong, New Zealand, Malaysia and the Philippines did great. Europe, Africa and the Middle East are currently posting solid gains. The UK, Denmark, France, Germany, Russia, South Africa, Finland, Switzerland, Norway, Spin, Italy, Israel and Sweden are all doing very well. Futures in the States point towards another moderate gap up for the cash market.

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LB Weekly (Jan 12)

by admin on January 12, 2020
in Charts/Essays/Reports

2020 has gotten off to a solid start.

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